Regular Article

Uncertainty quantification for industrial numerical simulation using dictionaries of reduced order models

¹ SafranTech, Rue des Jeunes Bois, Châteaufort, 78114 Magny-les-Hameaux, France
² MINES ParisTech, PSL University, Centre des matériaux (CMAT), CNRS UMR 7633, BP 87, 91003 Evry, France

^* e-mail: christian.rey@safrangroup.com

Received: 14 July 2021
Accepted: 22 December 2021

Abstract

We consider the dictionary-based ROM-net (Reduced Order Model) framework [Daniel et al., Adv. Model. Simul. Eng. Sci. 7 (2020) https://doi.org/10.1186/s40323-020-00153-6] and summarize the underlying methodologies and their recent improvements. The object of interest is a real-life industrial model of an elastoviscoplastic high-pressure turbine blade subjected to thermal, centrifugal and pressure loadings. The main contribution of this work is the application of the complete ROM-net workflow to the quantification of the uncertainty of dual quantities on this blade (such as the accumulated plastic strain and the stress tensor), generated by the uncertainty of the temperature loading field. The dictionary-based ROM-net computes predictions of dual quantities of interest for 1008 Monte Carlo draws of the temperature loading field in 2 h and 48 min, which corresponds to a speedup greater than 600 with respect to a reference parallel solver using domain decomposition, with a relative error in the order of 2%. Another contribution of this work consists in the derivation of a meta-model to reconstruct the dual quantities of interest over the complete mesh from their values on the reduced integration points.